Stage three · Planning & FP&A
Know what could happen next.
Once you understand where the business stands, planning turns that view forward: a budget, a rolling forecast, and a way to test a decision — the hire, the price change, the investment — before you commit to it.
Change the decision. Watch the cash curve respond.
Three versions of the same thirteen weeks. Same business, same pipeline — different decisions. Switch between them and watch where the cash low point moves.
Exhibit 01
Illustrative exampleA forecast exists to change the decision, not to predict the future
Where does cash get tight, and which decision moves it?
- Week 4
- PAYE / VAT
- Week 6
- Large customer receipt
- Week 8
- Proposed hire
- Week 11
- Cash pressure
£74klowest cash point
Cash crosses the safe minimum in week 11 and keeps falling.
The low point is the number that matters. Everything else is context.
Growth consumes cash before it creates it.
Work is delivered, costs are paid, and the cash arrives later. Lengthen payment terms and the gap widens — regardless of how profitable the work is.
Common signs
- Cash visibility that stops at today's bank balance
- A forecast nobody updates because nobody owns it
- Decisions taken on instinct because there is no way to test them
- Profitable months that somehow leave less cash behind
Exhibit 02
Illustrative exampleRevenue up, cash down
What happens to cash as revenue grows and customers pay later?
- 01More sales
- 02More receivables
- 03More working capital required
- 04Less cash available
Growth can consume cash before it creates cash.
Profit is an opinion about timing; cash is not.
A plan you can pressure-test.
Delivered
- A budget and rolling forecast built on real business drivers
- A 13-week rolling cash view, owned internally
- Scenario and sensitivity modelling for hires, terms, pricing and projects
- Investment appraisal grounded in the numbers, not instinct
What changes
- The cash low point is known weeks ahead, not discovered
- Hiring, pricing and investment decisions are modelled first
- Risk and opportunity are visible before they land
- The forecast survives contact with a busy month
Next
A plan is only as good as the rhythm behind it: who reviews it each month, and who owns the decisions it points to.